Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 24, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 PEZZAT Daniel S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
3 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 10%
5 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 7%
6 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
8 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 77% 28% 4% - -
9 SHEA William 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
10 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
11 DAVIS Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
12 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
13 SHICK Veronika 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
14 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% - -
15 RYAN Sean 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
16 SOLIEV Abbos 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 96% 71% 27% 3% - -
18 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
19 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 7%
20 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 6%
21 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
22 TSENG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9% -
23 RYGIEL Luke 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
24 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 64% 13% 1% - -
25 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
26 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 97% 75% 23% 3% - -
27 MOORE Annette 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
28 HAVERSON Rana 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
29 LOVELACE Vander 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
30 KARNAVAS William 100% 100% 96% 73% 24% 2%
31 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 94% 49% 11% 1% -
32 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
33 COX Brian 100% 96% 63% 12% 1% -
34 DELEON Alyssia 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
35 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% - -
36 ALLEN Lily 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
37 LEWIS Evan 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
38 COX Samuel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
38 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
40 COX Jeniffer 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.