East Coast Challenge RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, May 11, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Rockaway, NJ - Rockaway, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 18%
2 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 QIU Le 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
5 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
6 RAI Avin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
7 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
8 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
9 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
10 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
11 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
12 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
13 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
14 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
15 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
16 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
17 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
17 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
19 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
20 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
21 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
22 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
23 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
24 GANTA Vijay 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
25 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
26 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
27 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
28 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
29 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
30 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
31 LIU kelly 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
32 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
33 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
34 SZEWCZYK Thomas D. 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
35 WU Nicholas R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
36 VACCARI Braden 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
37 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
38 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
39 MURTHY mukund 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2%
40 JUN Ryan 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
41 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 4%
42 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
43 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
44 METTKE Nathaniel 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
45 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
46 YEN Preston 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
47 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% -
48 WUN William 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
48 STEINMETZ John 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
50 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
50 ATEFI Daniel 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
52 PATTON Colin T. 100% 99% 82% 35% 7% -
53 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
54 XU Michael 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
55 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
56 TANG Albert 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
57 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 74% 23% 3% - - -
58 KEEFE Duncan 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
59 YUAN Kevin 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
60 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
61 MORREALE John 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
62 LEE Jude H. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
63 QIN Alexander 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
64 JIANG Kevin 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
65 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
66 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
67 YOU Jaden 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
68 CHAN Daniel 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1% -
69 CLAWSON Amzie 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
70 MENSAH Kennedy C 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
71 MARTINEZ Justin 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
72 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
73 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
73 ANGELILLO Nicholas 100% 82% 33% 7% 1% - -
75 RYAN Edward T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
76 BUCCINO George 100% 90% 38% 7% - -
77 WEHLE Paul 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
78 FAN ANDREW 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% -
79 NEVILLE James 100% 70% 21% 3% - -
79 GROTH Christian 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
81 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
82 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
83 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
84 CHAN Alexander S. 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
85 PEARSON James G. 100% 72% 29% 6% - - -
86 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
87 KREGER Evan 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
88 MOLINARO Lawrence 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
89 CHAN Austin 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
90 FISK Ethan 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
91 SHAO Peter 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
92 YANG Richard 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
93 CHERNAEV Aleksandar 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
94 HO Kaden M. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
95 ZHOU Miles 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
96 DEFORD Kevin W. 100% 24% 2% - - -
96 BELEV Nicholas 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
98 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
99 CAMPO Alexander P. 100% 46% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.