Event Preview
October NACSaturday, October 30, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4408 | 4592 - 4320 |
| 5 - 8 | 4310 | 4500 - 4172 |
| 9 - 16 | 3918 | 4025 - 3809 |
| 17 - 32 | 3783 | 3926 - 3653 |
| 33 - 64 | 3547 | 3885 - 3375 |
| 65 - 128 | 3145 | 3874 - 2880 |
| 129 - 159 | 2777 | 3257 - 2376 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.