Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
5 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
6 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
7 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
8 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
9 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
11 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
12 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
13 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
14 BO Genero 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
15 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
18 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
19 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
20 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
21 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
22 HE Bronto 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
23 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
24 WITHERELL Logan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
25 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
26 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
27 TANG Colin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
28 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
29 WANG Eason 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
30 CHO Adrian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
31 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
32 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
33 LI Ryan 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 3%
34 CHEN Cameron 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
35 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
36 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
37 BRESLAV Asher 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
38 AU Joshua 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
39 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
40 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
40 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 96% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
42 THOMAS Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
43 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
44 TANG Luke 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% -
45 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
46 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
47 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 86% 39% 8% 1%
48 DATSON David 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
49 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
50 LEE Ryan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
51 LEE Elijah 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
52 YU David 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 1%
53 OPERT Emmett 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 7%
54 HANNA Alexander 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
55 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
56 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
57 ZHAO Brandon 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
58 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
59 HONG Ethen 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
60 MOZZER Nolan 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
61 NABI Mikhail 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
62 PREVOST Landon 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
63 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
64 FOGEL Jake 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
65 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
66 ALABI Azryl 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
67 THOMAS Andrew 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
68 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
69 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
70 HEMPHILL Kurt 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
71 LIN John 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
72 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
73 QI Bryan 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
74 LAW Oliver 100% 78% 40% 13% 2% - -
75 SHI Peyton 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
76 DAI Jason 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
77 CHEN Jayden A 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
78 WELCH Sebastian 100% 76% 20% 2% - -
79 KIM Louie 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
80 DING Charlie 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
81 JEPP Michael 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
82 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
83 GARRETSON Luke 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
84 LIU Jeremy 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
85 JAISING Aaditya 100% 45% 6% - - -
86 LI Tyrese 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
87 MAZEL Antonin 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
88 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
89 GAO Ryan 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
90 SMITH Theo 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
91 SHI Evan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
91 ROBINSON Blake 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
93 LI Jayden 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
94 LANE Sawyer 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.