UMFC Dillion Dollar Duels

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 12:30 PM

UMN RecWell MAC Gym - Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KWANT Henry 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
2 LI Grace 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
3 SHUSTA Lily 100% 100% 98% 74% 30% 5%
3 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
5 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
6 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey 100% 100% 93% 60% 17%
7 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
8 FEEHAN Conor 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
9 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 48% 9% 1% -
10 HARRISKING Josh 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
11 SCHROEDER Karl A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
12 ATHOW Stephanie J. 100% 95% 68% 28% 5%
13 GUSTAFSON Dillon 100% 96% 74% 32% 6%
14 OBERLY Nicholas 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
15 HICKNER Gabe 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
16 MOHAMED Sara 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
17 CHAN Vincent 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.