Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 31, 2021 at 2:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3837 | 3953 - 3740 |
| 5 - 8 | 3580 | 3682 - 3498 |
| 9 - 16 | 3382 | 3463 - 3267 |
| 17 - 32 | 3204 | 3257 - 3132 |
| 33 - 64 | 3011 | 3134 - 2930 |
| 65 - 128 | 2770 | 2990 - 2572 |
| 129 - 193 | 2214 | 2772 - 1126 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.