Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 31, 2021 at 2:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3826 | 3953 - 3720 |
| 5 - 8 | 3568 | 3650 - 3498 |
| 9 - 16 | 3381 | 3470 - 3253 |
| 17 - 32 | 3203 | 3250 - 3151 |
| 33 - 64 | 3011 | 3120 - 2930 |
| 65 - 128 | 2764 | 2978 - 2581 |
| 129 - 192 | 2206 | 2772 - 1126 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.