2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, December 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 21%
3 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
5 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
7 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
9 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
10 KIM Suin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
11 FISCHER Noel 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
12 OU Rigel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
13 CHAN Troy 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
14 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
15 LU Simon 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
16 SU Eric 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
17 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
18 ZHANG Caleb 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
19 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
20 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
21 KAMURA Kosei 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
22 YANG Aegon 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
23 LUO Gavin 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
24 LIU Paul 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
25 LIU Nico 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
26 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
27 GU Dean 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
27 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
29 LAI Mars 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
30 WU Dawei 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
31 ATA Kevin 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
32 YUAN Alan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
33 WANG James 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
34 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
35 TABANCAY Cole 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
36 QI Zach 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
37 BALAGOPAL Aditya 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
38 KUANG Cyrus 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
39 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
40 CHOI Clayton 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
41 KANG Nathan 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
42 DUFF Michael 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
43 YU Hyunseung 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
44 BADMUS David 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% 1%
45 OH Caleb 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
46 THOTAKURA Sreyas 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
47 CAI Limo 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
48 DING Orlando 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
48 KIM Christopher 100% 99% 78% 36% 7% -
50 SHEN Alaric 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
50 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.