2024 TCFC December Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Tuesday, December 31, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 5%
3 TAHA Raymond 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 10%
5 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
6 FRALEY Orion 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
7 BUKOWSKI Lillian 100% 96% 73% 29% 2% -
8 GLENNON Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 FLANIGAN Kendra 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
10 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
11 STENZEL Henry 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% -
12 NOONEY Tatum 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
13 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
14 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 80% 32% 2% - -
15 FOSTER Finnegan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
16 HARRISKING Keith 100% 70% 23% 4% - -
17 SCHULTZ David 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
18 MATCHINSKI Alex 100% 64% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.