January NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUFFEY Christopher - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
2 KWALWASSER Eric - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
3 KIM Ethan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
5 YAN William - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
6 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 LEE Aidan - 3% 18% 41% 33% 5%
8 PATEL Rayn 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
9 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
10 TAO Jeffrey - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
11 YE Eric 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
12 KOVALEV Daniil N. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
13 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
14 SOWERS Samuel - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
15 OH Aster - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
16 TSE Aiden J - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
17 YANG Dylan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
18 WANG Jerry 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% < 1%
19 SO Preston - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
20 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
21 MUNGUIA Nathan - 4% 24% 46% 26%
22 GAY Jono 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
22 LIN Maxim - 1% 5% 18% 36% 31% 9%
24 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
24 KATZ Ryan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
26 HU Chris - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
27 LIN Philip T. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
28 CHEN Samuel 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
29 NGO Maximus - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
30 YANG Phillip 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
31 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
32 PINTO Marcus 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
33 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
34 STURGEON Cole 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% < 1%
35 WANG Daniel 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
36 KANG Evan - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
37 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
38 LI Howard - - - 3% 17% 40% 39%
39 CHON Collin - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
40 SUBA Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
41 KIM ELIJAH - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
42 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
43 JOO Jeein - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
44 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
45 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
46 WANG Samuel - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
47 GONZALEZ Jake - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
48 MATTOO Deven 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
49 LINCOURT Arthur 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
50 KANG Evan R. - 4% 22% 46% 28%
51 ZHAO Lucas - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
52 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
53 WANG Max 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
54 CHUNG Connor - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
55 WANG Justin 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
56 SU Landon - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
57 CLARK Aram 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
58 ATWOOD Griffin - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
58 LIU Kevin - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
60 ANDRES Michael - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
61 LIU Yijin 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
62 ZHOU William 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
63 GONG Alex 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
64 WONG Lucas 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2%
65 PRIEUR Christian F. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
66 CHAMBERS Miles 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
67 PRIMUS Nazir - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
68 LEE Noah - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
69 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
70 GONG Gavin 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
71 GREMILLION Obadiah 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2%
72 YOOK Isaac 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
73 KANG Matthew 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
74 HWANG Jayden - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
75 KIM Kendrick 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
76 SUGIURA Samuel - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
77 MEHAN Nicholas - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
78 ZHENG LEON 3% 25% 44% 23% 4%
79 ZHAO Royce 9% 39% 38% 12% 1%
80 NG Jonathan - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
80 WANG Michael 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
82 EYBELMAN Ariel - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
83 DAI Zihou 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
84 BADUSHOV Anton 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
85 CHENHE YuHan 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
86 SANGSTER Arden 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
87 LIN Felix 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
88 TSAO Oliver 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
89 LI Ayden 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
90 AUTREY Adrien 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
91 CAO Oliver 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
92 SHANKWILER Christopher - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
93 WEI Rian 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
94 LI Matthew 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
95 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
96 UEMOTO Ken 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
97 CAO Donald 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
98 LEE William Nigel 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 8% 1%
99 ZENG Vito 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
100 NARDINI Nathanael P. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
101 KU Collin 39% 40% 16% 3% - - -
102 FANG Eason 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
103 SUN Andrew 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
104 GONG Jerry - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
105 LIU Andrew 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
106 SADHU Neiyam 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% -
106 RAMANAN Govind - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
108 SASSI Ilyas 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
109 LEE Andrew 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
110 BROWN Andrew 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
111 LI Yidong A. 31% 42% 21% 5% - -
112 LIM Brandon 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
113 PEREIRA Beckham 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
114 LEE Brady 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
115 VO Landon 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
116 HUA Michael 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
116 KAVZAN Toprak 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
118 CHEN Jonathan 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
119 HU Harry 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
120 PAK Andrew 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
121 XU Ivan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
122 CAI Jeff 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
123 WANG Max 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
124 SEELMAN Cole 57% 35% 7% 1% -
125 SALMAN Hamzah 8% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
126 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
126 NGO Emerson 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
128 CHAN Elliott 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
129 LIAO Yifong 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
129 MATTOO Dhruv 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
131 TSAO Alister 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.