January NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Monday, January 6, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
3 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
3 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
5 HEDGES Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
6 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
7 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 17%
8 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
9 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 3%
10 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
11 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
12 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 8%
13 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 1%
14 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
15 HELGE James R. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
16 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
17 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
18 GRAVES SMITH Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 25%
19 BUCKLEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
20 MEEHAN Justin X. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
21 HANSEN Eric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
21 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
23 HUNTER Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
24 GERACI Paul A. 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 1%
25 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4%
26 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 91% 56% 18% 2%
27 SPRINGER Michael 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
28 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
29 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 11% 1%
30 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
31 FREY Wayne N. 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
32 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% -
33 HARRIS Robert S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
34 STEWART Robert 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
35 CHEN Steve 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
36 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
37 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
38 EXUM Travis H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
39 ROBERTS Peter 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
40 KISSINGFORD John F. 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 2%
41 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 1%
42 WILLIAMS Brett 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
43 ANDERSON Nathan T. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
44 KROGH Dan Krogh (Dan) M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
45 PARTE Aidan 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% -
46 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
47 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 91% 57% 16% 2% -
48 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
49 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 99% 84% 34% 5% - -
50 DJURISIC Zoran M. 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
51 RIFKIND Neil 100% 86% 26% 2% - - -
52 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 30% 4% - - -
53 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
54 KLINE R. Jay 100% 99% 57% 16% 2% -
55 GREGORY Dean 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
56 BRUS Brian V. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
57 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
58 STERR Eric 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
59 WU Robert 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
60 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
61 FRANGER Jeff 100% 60% 20% 4% - -
62 ROGERS John D. 100% 4% - - - -
63 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
64 FELDMAN Louis 100% 27% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.