January NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Monday, January 6, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. - - - - - 11% 89%
2 CRANOR Erich L. - - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
3 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
3 YAKIMENKO Andrei 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
5 HEDGES Philip S. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
6 LICHTEN Keith H. - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
7 GAINES Aaron - - - 6% 29% 48% 17%
8 BARTLETT Jonathan R. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
9 CHENG Thomas - 5% 24% 42% 27% 3%
10 GATES Darcy C. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
11 MCNAMARA Scott 1% 13% 36% 35% 12% 1% -
12 HABIB Farooq - 2% 14% 41% 34% 8%
13 MARSH Timothy G. 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 1%
14 BARREIRO Darren - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
15 HELGE James R. 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
16 COETZEE Frans M. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
17 CLAWSON Brian C. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
18 GRAVES SMITH Geoffrey - - - 5% 23% 47% 25%
19 BUCKLEY Michael - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
20 MEEHAN Justin X. - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
21 HANSEN Eric J. - - - 4% 27% 69%
21 SUPONYA Sergey - 1% 9% 32% 41% 18%
23 HUNTER Justin - 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
24 GERACI Paul A. 1% 10% 34% 38% 16% 1%
25 PIENTA Chris J. 1% 10% 30% 36% 20% 4%
26 PRIHODKO Andrew - 9% 35% 38% 16% 2%
27 SPRINGER Michael 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
28 HITCHCOCK David - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
29 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - 1% 11% 40% 37% 10% 1%
30 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
31 FREY Wayne N. 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
32 BAILEY Creston P. 15% 43% 33% 8% 1% -
33 HARRIS Robert S. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
34 STEWART Robert 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
35 CHEN Steve 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
36 DEUCHER Joseph H. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
37 KURITZ Marc M. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
38 EXUM Travis H. - 1% 9% 34% 42% 13%
39 ROBERTS Peter 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
40 KISSINGFORD John F. - - 7% 32% 42% 16% 2%
41 TEITENBERG John F. - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 1%
42 WILLIAMS Brett 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
43 ANDERSON Nathan T. - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9% -
44 KROGH Dan Krogh (Dan) M. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
45 PARTE Aidan 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
46 KAUFMAN Joel H. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
47 SANCHEZ Leon D. 9% 35% 41% 14% 2% -
48 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
49 ELTERMAN Lev 1% 15% 51% 28% 5% - -
50 DJURISIC Zoran M. 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
51 RIFKIND Neil 14% 60% 23% 2% - - -
52 JEFFCOAT Timothy 70% 26% 4% - - -
53 KERTESZ Stefan G. 13% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
54 KLINE R. Jay 1% 42% 40% 14% 2% -
55 GREGORY Dean 37% 44% 17% 2% - -
56 BRUS Brian V. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
57 MINOTT Nicolas D. 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
58 STERR Eric 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
59 WU Robert 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
60 CAMPBELL Paul 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
61 FRANGER Jeff 40% 40% 16% 3% - -
62 ROGERS John D. 96% 4% - - - -
63 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
64 FELDMAN Louis 73% 25% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.