The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
2 SHOMAN Noah - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
3 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
3 REN James - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
5 KIM Shaun M. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
6 OH Triton 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
7 ZENG Noah - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
8 WU Richard - 10% 42% 35% 11% 1%
9 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
10 HU Christopher - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 7%
11 LEE Aydan J. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
12 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
13 BERA Enzo - 1% 10% 35% 40% 15%
14 GAUVEY Kieran - 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
15 DOWNEY Baran - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
16 CLARK Gabriel - 1% 6% 26% 41% 22% 4%
17 TURCK Caspar J. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
18 DUCKETT Myles - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
19 ZHANG Derek - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
20 ANAND Rohan - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
21 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
22 CHEN Jia Tao 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
23 VAUGHN Jason 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
24 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
25 SU Landon - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
26 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
27 YEE Ethan C. - 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
28 LIN Philip T. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
29 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
30 PEREIRA Beckham - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
31 WANG Max 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
32 OH Aster 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
33 BENNETT Anthony 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
34 SONG Tony 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
35 BAKALOV Alex 14% 55% 26% 4% - -
36 HILL Spencer 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
37 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 26% 47% 22% 4% - - -
38 GUREVICH Savely 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
39 YAN William 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
40 PATEL Rayn 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
41 SAPIR Alex 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
42 NORTON Benjamin 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
43 GARDNER Sebastian 3% 22% 44% 25% 6% - -
44 SUN Andy 20% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
45 AKST Elliot 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
46 LARRAZOLO Evan 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
47 FEI Danny 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
48 HAPP Braeden 10% 34% 37% 15% 3% - -
49 HOTHA Nikhil 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
50 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
51 GREENBAUM Max B. 71% 27% 2% - - -
52 GUREVICH Benjamin 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
53 LEE Thomas 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.