Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
2 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
3 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 REN James 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
5 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 OH Triton 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
7 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
8 WU Richard 100% 100% 89% 47% 12% 1%
9 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
10 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
11 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
12 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
13 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 15%
14 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
15 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 2%
16 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4%
17 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
18 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
19 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
20 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
21 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
22 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
23 VAUGHN Jason 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
24 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
25 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
26 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
27 YEE Ethan C. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
28 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
29 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
30 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
31 WANG Max 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
32 OH Aster 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
33 BENNETT Anthony 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
34 SONG Tony 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
35 BAKALOV Alex 100% 86% 31% 5% - -
36 HILL Spencer 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
37 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
38 GUREVICH Savely 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
39 YAN William 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
40 PATEL Rayn 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
41 SAPIR Alex 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
42 NORTON Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
43 GARDNER Sebastian 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% - -
44 SUN Andy 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
45 AKST Elliot 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
46 LARRAZOLO Evan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
47 FEI Danny 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
48 HAPP Braeden 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
49 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
50 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
51 GREENBAUM Max B. 100% 29% 2% - - -
52 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
53 LEE Thomas 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.