Midwinter Melee

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Middlebury Union Middle School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 COFFIN Carleton - - 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
2 KROLEWSKI Alexander - - - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
3 MAGAZU Christopher 1% 7% 23% 33% 24% 10% 2% - -
3 GOLDENBOGEN Simon - - - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
5 SCHUPPE Ray W. - - - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
6 BALCH Richard Trip 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% - - -
7 ANNEAR Phillip 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% - - -
8 MAZUR Chris 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - - - -
9 FUHR Jacob - 1% 4% 15% 29% 30% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.