2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 100% 94% 40%
2 READ Lyla 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
4 BUKOWSKI Lillian 100% 90% 37%
5 NWOKOCHA Chizoro 100% 92% 45%
6 CAVEN Emerald 100% 86% 49% 14% 1%
7 STRAUSS Annie 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
8 LUKIS Mirah 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
10 CHOPRA Jahnvi 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 4%
11 WILSON Georgia 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
12 KOT Zuzanna 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
13 BURCHILL Grace 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
14 MOHAMED Siham 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
16 STOECKEL Lola 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
17 CULVER Hannah 100% 80% 38% 8% 1%
19 KINGSLEY Mel 100% 95% 55% 11% 1%
20 HSIUNG Carys 100% 99% 91% 54% 5%
21 WIDGE Sophia 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
22 JOHN Elsa 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
24 CHANDLER Elle 100% 33% 3%
26 MULLE Kaitlyn 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
27 MIEST Julien 100% 26% 2% - -
28 ROSSOW Susana (Sukey) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
29 KIM Annika 100% 97% 75% 25% 3% -
30 SMYTH Audrey 100% 95% 56% 10% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.