Nittany Lion Cup ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
2 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
5 RADENOVIC Vukan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
7 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 6%
8 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
9 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
10 DUKO Phillip 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
11 XIAO Yichen 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
13 LENNON Nicholas 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
14 RIM Eugene 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
15 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
16 HULL Liam 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
17 ZHANG Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
18 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
19 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
20 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
21 DURKIN Brian 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
22 TU Jinqi 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
23 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
24 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
25 YANG Alex 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
26 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
27 LEE Anton 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
28 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
29 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
30 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
31 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
32 CHO Alex 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
33 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
34 YU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
36 ZHANG James 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
37 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
38 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
39 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
40 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 21% 1%
41 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
42 CHEN Edward 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
43 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
44 RAKOTOZAFY Adrian 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
45 MANITT Philip 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
46 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
47 KIM Zac 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
48 NG Nico 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
49 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
50 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
51 NOOL Alexander 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
52 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
53 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
54 HELMY Richard 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1% -
55 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
56 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
57 HU Anton 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
58 HERDMAN Julian 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
59 HERTZOG Ben 100% 82% 42% 10% 1% - -
60 HENNESSY Levon 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
61 ZHU Yiming 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
62 CUELLAR Markus 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
63 LEE Henry 100% 86% 48% 14% 1% - -
64 CUK Max 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
65 FENG Du 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
66 LEHNER Brian 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
67 SARICH John F 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 14% 2%
68 MALHAM Andrew 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
68 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
70 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
71 RAMEY Daylon 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
72 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% - -
73 DAVIS Kannon 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
74 HELLINGER Ben 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
75 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
76 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
77 YU Kenneth 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
78 YU David 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
79 WITHERELL Logan 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.