Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 PECKENS Tyler - 4% 29% 50% 16%
2 FANG Yunhan 8% 33% 40% 17% 2%
3 GREEN Zachary J. - 7% 30% 43% 19%
3 KERSTEN Ryan 5% 24% 38% 26% 6%
5 GOODMAN Jason M. - 6% 27% 47% 20%
6 WIDMANN Ceili 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
6 SCOTT Fredric 11% 36% 37% 15% 2%
8 STONE Wesley - 5% 29% 51% 15%
9 GREEN Douglas R. 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
10 STEMLER Tyler 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
11 KENDALL Chris - 5% 22% 42% 31%
12 OXIE Matthew 6% 40% 45% 9% -
13 JUSTICE Brevyn 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
14 FAZAKAS Sandor-Matyas 1% 13% 44% 34% 7%
15 OWENS Carrie M. 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
16 GUGINO Esmeralda 4% 23% 42% 28% 3%
17 HANNOUCHI Said 1% 17% 45% 32% 6%
18 MCKEE Rachael 11% 35% 37% 15% 2%
19 UNDERHILL Jeff 1% 28% 46% 22% 3%
20 KLINE Jason 3% 28% 57% 11% 1%
21 GONZALEZ Marcello 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
22 ALSTROM Lillian 55% 38% 7% - -
23 MANKEL Kyleigh 15% 40% 34% 10% 1%
24 ALJOHANI Mariya 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
25 TOBIN Maryjane 7% 38% 42% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.