Older Man Winter

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 12:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Tristan - 1% 10% 45% 44%
2 FULMER Andrew J. - - 5% 41% 55%
3 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. - 1% 12% 42% 38% 8%
3 HENDERSON Matthew - 1% 15% 52% 31%
5 GLENNON Sebastian J. - - - 4% 27% 68%
6 HAN Sam - 2% 20% 52% 26%
7 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 2%
8 RUSSELL James - 1% 12% 40% 39% 9%
9 NORWOOD Malik - 4% 23% 45% 28%
10 JONES Jackson 3% 23% 48% 25% 1%
11 ANDERSON Derek M. - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
12 O'DEA Ryan 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
13 MILES Greyson - 6% 25% 42% 25% 3%
14 DILDA Griffin 10% 49% 35% 5% -
15 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 5% 37% 41% 15% 2%
16 BICKTA Joshua 59% 34% 7% - -
17 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 1% 10% 46% 36% 7%
18 KARNAVAS William 1% 12% 43% 42% 3%
18 GOLDER Christiane 33% 53% 13% - -
20 RUSSELL Tallis - 14% 51% 29% 5% -
21 KINNEY Michael R. 48% 41% 10% 1% -
22 BASNIGHT Eden 88% 11% - - - -
23 THIELEN Thomas 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
24 FARRER Brennecke E 11% 41% 35% 12% 1% -
25 HARRIS Lynn B. 24% 57% 18% 2% -
25 CHILDS Edward B. 15% 43% 33% 8% 1%
27 FLYNN Oliver 5% 58% 31% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.