Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
2 BI JIAJUN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
3 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
7 LI Derek 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
8 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
9 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
11 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
12 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
13 GONG Johnny 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
14 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
15 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
16 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 4%
17 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
18 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
19 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 9%
20 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
21 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 33% 6%
22 ZHANG Mark 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
23 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
24 WANG James 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 9%
25 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
26 HU YouShi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
27 TAK Sion 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
28 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
29 XUE Albert 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
30 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
31 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
32 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
33 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
34 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
35 CHEN Ryan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
36 TAK Kion 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
37 SUN Leonard 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
38 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
39 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
40 JOHNSON Leyton 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
41 JOHN Christian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
42 BROOKS Grant 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
43 WANG Ambrose 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
44 WANG Daniel 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
45 KWON Joon 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
46 ASANBAYEV Nikolai 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
47 MAZAHERI John 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
48 LI Nathan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
48 BABY Jacob 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
50 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
51 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
52 XU Jayden 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
53 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
54 NAYAK Kush 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
55 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
56 GU Gordon 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
57 HUANG Max 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
58 SHARMA KRISH 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
59 HARDY Mason 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
60 GUO Lining 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
61 THORNTON Jackson 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
62 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
63 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
64 TOPALOV Michael 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
65 LEVY Rafa 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
66 GHIM Ethan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
67 HUANG Joseph 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
68 SOMOV Maxim 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
69 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
70 LIANG Henry 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
71 ZHAO Evan 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
71 ZHAO Alan 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
73 CHEN Parker 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.