Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
2 BI JIAJUN - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
3 LAI Mars - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 10%
5 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
6 LIU Jeremy - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
7 LI Derek 2% 14% 38% 33% 12% 1%
8 ZHANG Hanzhi 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
9 HU Simon - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
10 YANG Aegon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
11 CHEN Luca - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
12 LAN Jasper - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
13 GONG Johnny 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
14 SALMAN Ibrahim - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
15 LUO Gavin - 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
16 ZHAO Alexander - 3% 19% 41% 33% 4%
17 IP Hunter - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
18 SOLEJ Miles - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
19 SUH Jordan - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 ATA Kevin - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
21 SABINO Bennett - 1% 7% 22% 37% 28% 6%
22 ZHANG Mark 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
23 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
24 WANG James - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
25 RIMMELE Sven Yan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
26 HU YouShi - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
27 TAK Sion 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
28 SHARMA Ayaan 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
29 XUE Albert - 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
30 MIKHAILOV Andrei - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
31 WANG Russell - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
32 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 2%
33 ZHANG Leon 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
34 LEE Aiden 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
35 CHEN Ryan 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
36 TAK Kion 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
37 SUN Leonard 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
38 KULJIEV Boyan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
39 NEPPALLI Dhruv - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
40 JOHNSON Leyton 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
41 JOHN Christian - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
42 BROOKS Grant 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
43 WANG Ambrose - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
44 WANG Daniel 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
45 KWON Joon 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
46 ASANBAYEV Nikolai 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
47 MAZAHERI John 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
48 LI Nathan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
48 BABY Jacob 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
50 CARD Ewan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
51 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
52 XU Jayden 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
53 MANGINI Lorenzo 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
54 NAYAK Kush - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
55 FERNAINE Thomas 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
56 GU Gordon 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
57 HUANG Max 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
58 SHARMA KRISH 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
59 HARDY Mason - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
60 GUO Lining 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
61 THORNTON Jackson 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
62 MULCAHEY Kieran 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
63 AUSLANDER Rocco 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
64 TOPALOV Michael 36% 45% 16% 2% - -
65 LEVY Rafa 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
66 GHIM Ethan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
67 HUANG Joseph 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
68 SOMOV Maxim 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
69 ZHANG Ethan 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
70 LIANG Henry 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
71 ZHAO Evan 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
71 ZHAO Alan 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
73 CHEN Parker 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.