South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Intercontinental - Los Angeles Hotel - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
2 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
5 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
6 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
8 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
9 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
10 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
10 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
12 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
13 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
14 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
15 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 5%
16 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
17 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 1%
18 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
19 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
20 PARK Sean 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
21 ZENG Oliver 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
22 PARRA Lucas 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
23 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
24 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
25 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 73% 31% 5% -
26 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
27 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
28 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 98% 78% 38% 8% 1%
29 LAU Caleb 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
30 MAQUILING Rorey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
31 GUO Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 8% 1%
32 SHOURIE Seth 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
33 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
34 ONG David 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
35 MA kevin 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
36 LIU William 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
37 YI Alexander 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
38 SI Alexander 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
39 SHIH Derek 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
40 YUN Mason 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
41 YANG Rony 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
42 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
42 LEE Connor 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
44 TENG Eric 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
45 YUN Nicholas 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
46 LI Ethan 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
47 WANG Ryan 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
48 YOON Ian 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
49 LI Connor 100% 92% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
50 KONG William 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
51 TIAN Dylan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
52 HUNG Ludwig 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
53 TAN Yichen 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
54 FEKETE Jack Fekete 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
55 CHU Clayton 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
56 HAILU Noah 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
57 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
58 ZHAO Luke 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
59 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
60 THOMPSON Luca 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
61 WON Jacob 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
62 MA Murphy 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
63 WANG Sean 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
64 GONG Rongtao 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
65 LU Jayden 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
66 LEE Daniel 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
67 LIU Zeyar 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
68 MCEWEN Max 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
69 LEE Cooper 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
70 LAU Jesse 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
71 LEE Zeo 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
72 KOU Logan 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.