South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Intercontinental - Los Angeles Hotel - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
2 PARKE Nathaniel - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
3 ENG Kyler - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
3 FU Nolan - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
5 XUE Michael - - - - 5% 31% 64%
6 WANG Lucas - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
7 WHITE Ryden - - 1% 6% 21% 40% 31%
8 KIM Daniel - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
9 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
10 WU Nathan - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
10 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
12 RONG Marcus - 1% 7% 29% 47% 17%
13 HWANG Matthew - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
14 LEE Lucas - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
15 FU Benjamin - - 3% 18% 41% 33% 5%
16 LIN Bryan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 LIU Yihong - 6% 26% 42% 23% 1%
18 LIU Aiden - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
19 WONG Kyle - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
20 PARK Sean 1% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
21 ZENG Oliver 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
22 PARRA Lucas 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
23 ABRAHAM Aaron 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
24 SHOURIE Neel - 1% 6% 23% 41% 26% 3%
25 YOO Lucas - 3% 24% 42% 26% 5% -
26 LI Stephen - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
27 ZHANG Jenson - 5% 25% 41% 24% 4%
28 ZHANG Zhihan 2% 20% 40% 30% 7% 1%
29 LAU Caleb 2% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1%
30 MAQUILING Rorey - - - 4% 32% 64%
31 GUO Jonathan 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
32 SHOURIE Seth - 2% 13% 35% 39% 12%
33 CHEN Aiden - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 2%
34 ONG David - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
35 MA kevin 1% 13% 36% 37% 13% 1%
36 LIU William 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% -
37 YI Alexander 1% 9% 29% 38% 21% 4%
38 SI Alexander 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
39 SHIH Derek 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% -
40 YUN Mason 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
41 YANG Rony 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
42 NGUYEN Ethan V. 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
42 LEE Connor 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
44 TENG Eric 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
45 YUN Nicholas 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
46 LI Ethan 10% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
47 WANG Ryan 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
48 YOON Ian 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
49 LI Connor 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
50 KONG William - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
51 TIAN Dylan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
52 HUNG Ludwig 21% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
53 TAN Yichen 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
54 FEKETE Jack Fekete 4% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
55 CHU Clayton 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
56 HAILU Noah - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
57 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
58 ZHAO Luke 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
59 ZHAO Jonathan Li 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
60 THOMPSON Luca 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
61 WON Jacob 11% 40% 36% 12% 2% -
62 MA Murphy < 1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
63 WANG Sean < 1% 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
64 GONG Rongtao 1% 8% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
65 LU Jayden 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
66 LEE Daniel 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
67 LIU Zeyar 14% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
68 MCEWEN Max 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
69 LEE Cooper 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
70 LAU Jesse 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
71 LEE Zeo 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
72 KOU Logan 62% 32% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.