Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Luke - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
2 ZHANG Aiden - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
3 YOU Asher - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
3 CHEN Regis - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
5 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
6 MATUSOW Brandon 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% < 1%
7 CHA Aiden - - 2% 10% 29% 41% 19%
8 FEELY Samuel - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
9 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
10 FAYEZ Adam - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
11 NG Remy - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
12 FANG Charlie - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
13 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
14 CHEN Benjamin - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
15 HONG Evan - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 13%
16 ZHAO ryan - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
17 GUJJA Rishabh - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
18 GOH Cayden - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
19 BUTLER Xavier - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 SUK Kwon 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
21 MAURAIS JP - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
22 YANG JULIAN - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
23 OLELE Chibuikem - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
24 LI Nolan - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
25 SAFAI Bardia 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
25 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
27 CHI Zachary - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
28 KIM Ian - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
29 XIE Vasco 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
30 KAPP Eamon 10% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
31 QU ethan 3% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
32 MORET Declan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
33 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
34 MAXWELL Taiga - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
35 XIONG Alec - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
36 ALI Akash 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
37 LUO Sebastian - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
38 WHITE Leonardo 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
39 LIU YULIN - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
40 PATEL Yash - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
41 MALIK Nouman 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
42 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
43 YAN Milan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
44 ROULLARD Atticus 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
45 LEE Eric - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
46 LEE Taeryum 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
47 SALIBA Jackson 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
48 YOU Emmanuel - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
49 ZHEN Maxwell 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
50 ECCLESTONE Liam 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
51 LAW Benjamin 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
52 LEE Zachariah 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
53 ZHANG Jacob 1% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
54 KAZA Avyaan 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
55 WENDLING Andrew 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
56 WU JiaEr - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
57 LEE Sehryum 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
58 ZHOU Silvan 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
59 MAK Nolan 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
60 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
61 BAIK Jinu 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
62 SADLER Leon 17% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
63 POTAPOV Georgii < 1% - 6% 29% 40% 21% 4%
64 YANG Sean 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
65 LEE Samuel 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
66 CAVALLARO Xavier 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
67 TRIVULCE Ethan 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
68 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
69 GAN Samuel 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
70 SOTO Lucas 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
71 ANDREWS Eli 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
72 CHEN Samuel 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
73 WANG Asher 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
74 CURTISS Cameron 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
75 THORNHILL Colin 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
76 ABREU ACKER Benjamín 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.