The Midwinter Melee

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 25, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAW Audrey - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
2 BALMER Zoe - - 1% 6% 27% 51% 15%
3 MCCORMICK Chase 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
3 SALERNO A.J. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
5 NASH Owen - 5% 24% 44% 23% 3%
6 CHIN Harper 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
7 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
8 BROWN Makena - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7% -
9 KINSMAN Manuel 1% 9% 31% 42% 16% 2% -
10 PRIETO Luca 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
11 GRINKIV Solomia 4% 22% 39% 28% 8% 1%
12 BELL Jack 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
13 MARTIN Sevy Kodiak 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.