Event Results
The Midwinter MeleeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LORENZ Evan | V V V V D V | V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | SHARMA Colin | V V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | MAPES Tanner | D V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | MERCURE Edward (Tony) | V D D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 5 | FRISBEE John | V D D V D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 6 | MCGLYNN Mary | D D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 7 | BROGAN Samantha | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |