Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 3% 20% 58% 19%
2 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - - 2% 31% 67%
3 LUEDECKE Myles A. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
5 LEE Andrew O. - - - 4% 30% 66%
6 MAKMATOV Vadim - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
7 KOKENGE Reid - - < 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
8 WU Alistair 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
9 SUVOROV Yuly - 1% 8% 33% 47% 10%
10 FULLER George K. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
11 PETERSEN Ephraim - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
12 FULLERTON Houston T. - - - 1% 10% 40% 50%
13 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 1% 11% 48% 40%
14 DAZO Steven (Steve) P. - 5% 24% 39% 25% 5%
15 WELDON Benjamin - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
16 HAMZA Tudor - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
17 BENACK Steven M. - - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
18 SMITH Justin C. - - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
19 TOYOFUKU Ethan 2% 19% 44% 29% 6% < 1% -
20 KILUK Andrew - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
21 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
22 WEGENER Soren - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% -
23 MEEHAN Justin X. - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
24 LU Jacob 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4% -
25 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
26 SIM Ian 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
27 VARNEY John R. - - 1% 8% 35% 44% 13%
28 KIM Teo 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
29 HANNON Owen 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
30 GUAN Nathan 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1%
31 TSAI Oscar - - - 2% 14% 50% 35%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
33 HABIB Farooq - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
34 CRANOR Erich L. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
35 DONG Leo Hai Yi - 5% 24% 42% 25% 4% -
36 MATHES Caleb 1% 9% 31% 42% 16% 1%
37 ELLISOR Drayten 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
38 OLSON Kevin 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
39 KWON Andrew 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
40 PERKA Michael - - 2% 17% 43% 31% 6%
41 CARLSON Jesse - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
42 LI Timothy 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
43 DONDISCH Ilan 1% 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
44 LOHNES Shane 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
45 BREILING Niklas - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
46 LIU Zicheng 15% 45% 32% 8% 1% - -
47 WAI Andreas 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% - -
49 BLOCK B.J. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
50 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
51 WILLIAMS Derek 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
52 KLEIN Johannes 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% -
53 ZHANG Austin 10% 42% 36% 10% 1% - -
54 PALACIOS Francisco 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
55 ARMES Jonas 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
56 REED David 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
57 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 31% 46% 19% 3% - -
58 BELL Michael S. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
59 LEHNER Brian 11% 42% 35% 11% 1% - -
60 RAY William 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1% -
61 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
62 GE Ray 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -
63 STOCK Jordan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
64 WANG Jason 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
65 XUE Jake 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
66 KING Richard (Dick) M. 1% 9% 34% 41% 14% 2% -
67 MEHROTRA Dhruv 58% 35% 6% - - - -
68 GOWDA Suyog 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
69 NEWMAN Taylor H. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
70 LIPTON Michael D. 11% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
71 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
72 BOKHANEVICH Dmitriy S. 3% 22% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
72 KOKENGE Chad 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
74 BREILING Sebastian 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.