Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 19%
2 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
3 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
5 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
6 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
7 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
8 WU Alistair 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
9 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
10 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
11 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
13 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
14 DAZO Steven (Steve) P. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
15 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
16 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
17 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 7%
19 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% < 1% -
20 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
21 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
22 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% -
23 MEEHAN Justin X. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
24 LU Jacob 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
25 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
26 SIM Ian 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
27 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 13%
28 KIM Teo 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
29 HANNON Owen 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
30 GUAN Nathan 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
31 TSAI Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 35%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
33 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
34 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
35 DONG Leo Hai Yi 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4% -
36 MATHES Caleb 100% 99% 91% 59% 17% 1%
37 ELLISOR Drayten 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% 1%
38 OLSON Kevin 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
39 KWON Andrew 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
40 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 6%
41 CARLSON Jesse 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
42 LI Timothy 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
43 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
44 LOHNES Shane 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
45 BREILING Niklas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
46 LIU Zicheng 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
47 WAI Andreas 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% - -
49 BLOCK B.J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
50 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
51 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
52 KLEIN Johannes 100% 94% 64% 22% 3% -
53 ZHANG Austin 100% 90% 47% 12% 1% - -
54 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
55 ARMES Jonas 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
56 REED David 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
57 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
58 BELL Michael S. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
59 LEHNER Brian 100% 89% 47% 12% 1% - -
60 RAY William 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1% -
61 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
62 GE Ray 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
63 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
64 WANG Jason 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
65 XUE Jake 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
66 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2% -
67 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 42% 7% - - - -
68 GOWDA Suyog 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
69 NEWMAN Taylor H. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
70 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
71 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
72 BOKHANEVICH Dmitriy S. 100% 97% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
72 KOKENGE Chad 100% 72% 26% 5% - -
74 BREILING Sebastian 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.