NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 NUTOVYCH David 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% -
5 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 6%
6 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 2%
7 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
8 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% -
9 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
10 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% < 1%
11 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
13 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
14 SIALA Omar 100% 99% 83% 37% 3%
15 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 1%
16 FENG Du 100% 98% 74% 35% 8% 1%
17 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
18 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
19 WANG Xiangdong 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
20 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
21 KELLEY Hayden 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
22 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
23 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
24 GLUSHKOV David 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
25 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 37% 6% < 1% - -
26 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 1%
27 MORI Seneca 100% 94% 53% 12% -
28 DOWD Peter L. 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
29 PAN Anthony 100% 98% 76% 29% 2%
30 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
31 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
32 LI Ray 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
33 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
34 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
35 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
36 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
37 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
38 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
39 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 4%
40 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
41 WHITE Aidan 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
42 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
43 SONG Changze 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
44 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
44 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
46 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 29% 4% < 1% - -
47 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
48 REINEKE Alexander 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
49 WILSON Ian G. 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
50 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
51 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
52 PORTER Corin 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
53 PESSIN Nadav 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
54 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
55 OSHIMA Robert 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
56 PARTE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
57 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
58 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
59 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
60 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
61 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
62 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
63 SUH Aiden 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
64 WOHL Martin A. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
65 KAIN Brad 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
66 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
67 SANTOS Felipe 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
68 BEEVER Logan 100% 29% 3% - -
69 GU Eric 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
70 MARSHALL William L. 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
71 HERRICK Michael 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
72 SEILS Aether 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
73 FOGEL Jake 100% 35% 5% - - -
74 VILLARS Philip 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.