NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MELCHER Jack H. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 WU Jonathan - - 1% 15% 84%
3 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - - 1% 13% 87%
3 NUTOVYCH David 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% -
5 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6%
6 XIE Brandon - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 2%
7 WANG Justin - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
8 SACCOMANNO Shelby - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
9 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
10 RVACHEV Michael 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3% < 1%
11 BEALS Alden - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
12 SONG Troy - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
13 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
14 SIALA Omar 1% 16% 46% 35% 3%
15 SANTOS Francisco M. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26% 1%
16 FENG Du 2% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1%
17 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
18 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
19 WANG Xiangdong 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
20 HU Robert J. - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
21 KELLEY Hayden 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
22 SPRINGER Michael - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
23 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
24 GLUSHKOV David 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
25 MECHREFE Anthony 63% 31% 5% < 1% - -
26 TRAN Spencer - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 1%
27 MORI Seneca 6% 41% 41% 12% -
28 DOWD Peter L. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
29 PAN Anthony 2% 22% 47% 27% 2%
30 MARTONE Matt L. 1% 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
31 NALLICHERI Ayaan 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
32 LI Ray 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
33 DJONOUMA Toyohm - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
34 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
35 BUSH Thomas - - 4% 24% 48% 23%
36 WANG-SONG Evan - 3% 13% 30% 35% 18% 2%
37 ERIKSEN Casey 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
38 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
39 LIU Jeremiah W. - 5% 23% 40% 28% 4%
40 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
41 WHITE Aidan 5% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
42 RUSSELL Edward - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
43 SONG Changze - 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
44 BANNEN Nicholas 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
44 BRASSARD Calvin 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
46 ROBINSON Garrett 71% 26% 3% < 1% - -
47 BRUEGGEMANN Max 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
48 REINEKE Alexander 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
49 WILSON Ian G. 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
50 OTTAVIANO Aaron 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
51 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
52 PORTER Corin 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
53 PESSIN Nadav 6% 34% 39% 18% 3% -
54 ZELIN Sam J. - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
55 OSHIMA Robert 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
56 PARTE Aidan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 1%
57 ROSIELLO Francesco 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
58 STEVENSON Ryan 2% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1%
59 O'BRIEN Eamon - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
60 YIN Chujun 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
61 REINEKE Gerhard 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
62 SPRINGER Elijah 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
63 SUH Aiden 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
64 WOHL Martin A. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
65 KAIN Brad 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
66 WOLFORD Benjamin 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
67 SANTOS Felipe 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
68 BEEVER Logan 71% 26% 3% - -
69 GU Eric 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
70 MARSHALL William L. 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
71 HERRICK Michael 11% 38% 35% 14% 2% - -
72 SEILS Aether 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
73 FOGEL Jake 65% 30% 5% - - -
74 VILLARS Philip 35% 43% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.