Bill Goering Colorado Cup #2 + Vet #3 Walk N' Roll

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 64%
2 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 DANIS Blake M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
3 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
5 LIU Josh 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 4%
6 WANG Zoe 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
7 MUENKE Magnus 100% 98% 81% 44% 10% 1% -
8 BRUNO Timothy 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 10%
9 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 21%
10 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
11 MARENCIK Miles 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
12 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
13 AMBROSE Katie 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
14 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
15 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
16 ISAACSON Calev 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
17 MACMILLAN Collin 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
18 ZHOU Austin 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
19 KENT V David 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
20 VARGAS Fernando 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% -
21 MU Jason 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
22 COLE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 10% -
23 EYMAN Hans 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
24 SHULL Marc 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3%
25 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
26 LONG Sam 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
27 FRIEDMAN Lucas 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1%
28 EMERSON Zachary 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% - -
29 LOMBARDO Declan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
30 HOEHLE Stacy A. 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
31 MAGNUSON Thomas 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
32 KENT Laurel 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
33 ISAACSON Henny 100% 72% 26% 3% - -
34 LONG Ethan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
35 MUENKE Torben 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
36 FROIDEVAUX Benjamin 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% - -
37 WYLIE Luke 100% 94% 57% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.