Olympia D'Artagnan's Challenge 3A (Y8/Y12 Epee)

Unrated Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 SON Joshua 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - - -
2 YONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 APFELBAUM Noam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 27%
3 KLOTS Theo 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
5 TAN Wyatt 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - < 1%
6 LOGINOV Iurii 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5% - -
7 LANGAN Dylan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% - -
8 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% - -
9 EFFEL Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 32%
10 JOHNSON Chukwualuka "Luka" Brock 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
11 SAHNI Ravi 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
12 JOHNSON August 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 1%
13 WAKELIN Kian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
14 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
15 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.