December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Monday, December 9, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
2 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
3 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
7 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 15%
8 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
9 WESTERN Rafael 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
10 DI TELLA Pascual M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
11 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 7%
12 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5%
13 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
14 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
15 PERRIER Clement 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
16 STONE Ben 100% 97% 73% 32% 5% -
17 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 25%
18 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 22%
19 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
20 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 18% 2%
21 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
22 REESE Aaron S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
23 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
23 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
25 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
26 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
27 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
28 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
29 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
30 BARNETT Adam 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
31 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
32 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 99% 87% 58% 22% 3% -
33 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
34 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
35 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
36 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
37 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
38 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
39 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
40 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8% 1%
41 LIANG Connor 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
42 YANG Ziyi 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
43 LAI Adam J. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
44 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
45 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24% 3%
46 MARSEE James 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
47 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
48 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
49 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
50 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
51 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1%
52 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
53 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
54 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
54 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
56 KIM Sean G. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
57 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% -
57 DODRILL Grant 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
59 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
60 DEMAREST Iain 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
61 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
62 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
63 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
64 HU William 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
65 LI Joshua L. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
66 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
67 JULIEN William A 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
68 CHEN Howard 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
68 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
70 DOARES Andrew 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
71 LASORSA Matthew 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
72 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
73 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
74 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
75 TONG Qilin 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
76 BRADFORD Blake 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
77 CLARKSON Cole 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
78 SMITH David C. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
79 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
80 COTTER Liam 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
80 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
80 BARBER William S. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
80 SINGER Carson 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
84 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
85 JEAN Noe T. 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
86 WESLER Logan A. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
87 RAJA Arnav 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
88 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
89 CICHOCKI David K. 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
90 KIM Minwook 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
91 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
92 YAN Jack P. 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
93 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.