DMFC's 2025 Frostbite (Foil & Saber)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 2:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCMANIGAL Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
2 KENNEDY Michael 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% < 1%
3 KIRKPATRICK Preston J. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
3 EASTER Christopher 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 RISKO-JUAREZ Aiden 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
6 LANCASTER Frankie 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
7 KOPPMANN Abby 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
8 OPPERMAN Avery 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
9 ORGERON Jeremy 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
10 ROSS Quimby 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
11 LARSON Drake 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
12 RHEA Evan 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.