2025 Linkmeyer Invitational

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 12:10 PM

USC Physical Education Building - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
2 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 99% 86% 33% 4%
5 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 44%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
8 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
10 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
11 BAXTER David 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
12 LEE Royce 100% 98% 81% 41% 6%
13 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 35% 3%
14 SHAHRIL Natalia 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
15 HARRISON Amelia H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
16 WELBORN Kathrina 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
17 DENISON Declan 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 1%
18 KANE Chloe 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
19 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 92% 47% 7% -
20 IMSANDE Dylan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
21 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 75% 31% 5% -
22 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
23 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 98% 83% 33%
24 CHARETTE Alex 100% 95% 61% 16% 1%
25 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 93% 58% 15%
26 ALLEN David 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
27 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
28 WOO Lucas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
29 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 87% 48% 12% 1%
30 JENSEN David 100% 100% 92% 54% 12%
31 SOLONOVICH Maksim 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
32 SODERBERG Alix 100% 83% 26% 3% - -
33 MAI Mailan 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
34 TAN Jocelyn 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
35 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
36 CREASON Nicholas 100% 100% 90% 45% 3% -
37 KOU Mason 100% 75% 26% 3% - -
37 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
39 HEPLER Sarah 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
40 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 92% 61% 20% 1%
41 BELL Michael S. 100% 84% 29% 4% -
42 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 90% 50% 11% -
43 GULLY Wren 100% 90% 49% 11% 1% -
44 HAU Olivia 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 DINGMAN Nash 100% 34% 3% - -
46 MISRA Tara 100% 68% 25% 4% -
47 GRAFF Adam 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
48 KNIGHT Alex 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
49 KAMINAGA Josephine 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
50 HAWKINS Simon 100% 97% 64% 19% 1% -
51 LABOVITCH David 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
52 WANG Lawrence 100% 93% 61% 20% 1%
53 CHANG Minchun 100% 96% 69% 20% 2% -
54 GURROLA Michal 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
55 GALLIVAN James 100% 86% 40% 3% - -
56 SIU Annalisa 100% 66% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.