2025 Linkmeyer Invitational

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 12:10 PM

USC Physical Education Building - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCDANIELS Jeremy - 2% 18% 45% 35%
2 LIN Kyran - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 SMITH Justin C. - - 2% 18% 51% 29%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 13% 53% 29% 4%
5 SHUR Yakov C. - - - 8% 48% 44%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - 1% 15% 45% 39%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 AU Marcus J. - - 6% 32% 62%
9 DESOUZA Hansel S. 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
10 KIM Sullivan - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
11 BAXTER David 3% 27% 42% 23% 5% -
12 LEE Royce 2% 17% 40% 35% 6%
13 LOCASALE Nicholas A. - 2% 16% 47% 32% 3%
14 SHAHRIL Natalia 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% 1%
15 HARRISON Amelia H. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
16 WELBORN Kathrina 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
17 DENISON Declan 1% 10% 33% 40% 14% 1%
18 KANE Chloe 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
19 FERRIERE Joshua 8% 45% 39% 7% -
20 IMSANDE Dylan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
21 CHARETTE Matthew 1% 24% 44% 26% 5% -
22 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. - 3% 18% 41% 32% 5%
23 CHIEN Brandon - 2% 15% 50% 33%
24 CHARETTE Alex 5% 34% 45% 16% 1%
25 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison - 7% 35% 43% 15%
26 ALLEN David 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% -
27 LIN Ryan - - < 1% 6% 37% 57%
28 WOO Lucas 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
29 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 13% 39% 36% 11% 1%
30 JENSEN David - 8% 38% 42% 12%
31 SOLONOVICH Maksim 6% 28% 42% 21% 3% -
32 SODERBERG Alix 17% 58% 23% 3% - -
33 MAI Mailan 2% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
34 TAN Jocelyn 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
35 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
36 CREASON Nicholas - 10% 44% 42% 3% -
37 KOU Mason 25% 49% 23% 3% - -
37 KOUTSOUKOS James 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
39 HEPLER Sarah 8% 30% 37% 20% 4%
40 FERRIERE Thomas 8% 31% 41% 18% 1%
41 BELL Michael S. 16% 55% 25% 4% -
42 SCHERZAY Ian 10% 40% 39% 11% -
43 GULLY Wren 10% 41% 38% 10% 1% -
44 HAU Olivia 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
45 DINGMAN Nash 66% 30% 3% - -
46 MISRA Tara 32% 43% 21% 4% -
47 GRAFF Adam 8% 29% 37% 21% 4%
48 KNIGHT Alex 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
49 KAMINAGA Josephine 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
50 HAWKINS Simon 3% 33% 45% 18% 1% -
51 LABOVITCH David 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
52 WANG Lawrence 7% 32% 42% 18% 1%
53 CHANG Minchun 4% 27% 49% 18% 2% -
54 GURROLA Michal 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
55 GALLIVAN James 14% 45% 37% 3% - -
56 SIU Annalisa 34% 43% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.