AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
2 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
3 DEARBORN Josie 100% 99% 89% 52% 7%
3 LI Allison 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
5 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
6 AGARWAL Keya 100% 88% 48% 9% -
7 YU Jiaming Lisa 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
9 TRUONG Chloe 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
10 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 97% 73% 22%
11 ALI Maryum 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
12 REN Ivanka 100% 100% 94% 63% 11%
13 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
14 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 91% 52% 11% -
15 CHAIGNEAU-TAQUECHEL Isadora 100% 82% 39% 9% 1%
16 HUANG Jui-An 100% 89% 41% 7% -
17 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 40% 6% - -
18 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 89% 47% 9% -
19 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 71% 28% 5% -
20 WU Angela 100% 55% 13% 1% -
21 LEE Rebecca 100% 96% 67% 20% 2%
22 PENTAKOTA Arnavi 100% 51% 11% 1% -
23 FITCH Anna 100% 69% 24% 4% -
24 KIM Kailyn 100% 78% 30% 5% -
25 AYCOCK Chloe 100% 99% 62% 16% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.