DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
2 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 11%
3 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
6 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 YANG Gary 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
8 ZHU Yiming 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
9 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 97% 66% 19% 2% < 1%
10 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
12 HULL Liam 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
13 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
14 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
15 YU Jason 100% 99% 76% 36% 9% 1%
16 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 94% 54% 13% 1% -
17 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
18 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
19 PETROW Zoryan 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
20 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
21 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
22 DA GRACA Aidan 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
23 COFFEY Jacob 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
24 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 83% 40% 8% -
25 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
26 LEE Anton 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
27 KE Sebastian 100% 97% 54% 14% 1% -
28 OZBAY Alp 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
29 GANZY Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
30 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
31 EVANS Grant 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
32 LIN Haley 100% 85% 45% 13% 1% -
33 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
33 LORENZ Nathan 100% 29% 3% - - -
35 FENG Xinmin 100% 14% 1% - - -
36 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 9% - - - -
37 MARTELL Antonio 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.