DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
2 CAO Brad - 1% 10% 38% 39% 11%
3 SWENSON Keane J. - 1% 8% 33% 44% 14%
3 CHEN Brian - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
5 LEE Aiden - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
6 LEE JoonWon - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
7 YANG Gary - 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
8 ZHU Yiming 27% 43% 24% 6% - -
9 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 3% 31% 46% 17% 2% < 1%
10 SU Caleb - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
11 WHEELER Daniel - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
12 HULL Liam - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
13 GANTSOUDES Isaac 2% 13% 35% 36% 14% 1%
14 SOKOL Luke - 3% 16% 38% 35% 7%
15 YU Jason 1% 23% 41% 27% 8% 1%
16 RAPALSKI Thomas 6% 40% 41% 12% 1% -
17 TIKHONOV Ilia - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
18 CARTER Austin L. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
19 PETROW Zoryan 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
20 DEUCHER Joseph H. - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
21 TAMULONIS Fen C. - 6% 29% 44% 20% 2%
22 DA GRACA Aidan 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
23 COFFEY Jacob - 7% 28% 38% 22% 4%
24 MEGGERS Davin 1% 16% 43% 32% 8% -
25 MODANLOU Navid - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
26 LEE Anton 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
27 KE Sebastian 3% 42% 41% 12% 1% -
28 OZBAY Alp 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
29 GANZY Ethan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
30 CHAWLA Aarav 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
31 EVANS Grant 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
32 LIN Haley 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
33 HOWLETT Daniel 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
33 LORENZ Nathan 71% 26% 3% - - -
35 FENG Xinmin 86% 14% 1% - - -
36 PARY Jean Pierre 91% 8% - - - -
37 MARTELL Antonio 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.