Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 MENSAH Kennedy C 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19%
3 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
6 ELIN Adam E. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% < 1%
7 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
9 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
10 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
11 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
13 DA GRACA Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
14 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 29% 6%
15 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 1%
16 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 17%
17 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
18 KASPER Aaron 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
19 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
20 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 4%
21 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
22 BELEV Nicholas 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
23 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
24 LO Alexander 100% 96% 77% 46% 17% 4% -
25 LAMHAOUAR Ryan 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
26 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
27 TREJO Oliver 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
28 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
29 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
30 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
31 GINSBURG Daniel 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
32 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
33 BIDWELL Ryder 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
34 DOLSKI Jack 100% 100% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
35 FARDELLA Angelo 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
36 DEISBOECK Maximilian S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
37 HONG Justin 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
38 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
39 GRYCIUK Koby 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
40 HUANG Connor 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
41 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
42 MACKINNON Henry 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
43 KESSLER Josh 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% - -
44 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
45 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
46 DUNAL Daniel 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
47 ZHANG Yankun 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
48 SHTEIN Yan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
49 BURDAN Gabriel 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% -
50 RENNER Henry 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
51 SHI Erick 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
52 MORALES Jonathan 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
52 BOVE Roman 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
54 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
55 WU Max 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
56 ELLIS John (Jack) 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% - -
57 GILBERT Spencer E. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
58 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
59 HUANG Ian 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
60 BRIDGES Benjamin 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
61 SUSSMAN Jamie 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
62 BERG Patrick 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.