The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Brandon - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
2 MENSAH Kennedy C - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 CZAHA Balint - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 KOGAN Benjamin - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
5 YEN Preston - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
6 ELIN Adam E. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% < 1%
7 MAHONEY Colin M. - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
8 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
9 GINIS Nathan - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
10 MICHNA Colin P. - 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
11 PETRAMALE Samuel J. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
12 ALKEMPER Tristan H. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
13 DA GRACA Aidan - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
14 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
15 MARGULIES William 1% 12% 36% 37% 14% 1%
16 HONG Vincent Q. - - 1% 6% 28% 49% 17%
17 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
18 KASPER Aaron 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
19 ATEFI Daniel - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
20 FIELDS Matthew S. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
21 OVERDECK Andrew 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
22 BELEV Nicholas 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
23 EDELMAN Seth A. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 4%
24 LO Alexander 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
25 LAMHAOUAR Ryan 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
26 HUANG Alexander C. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
27 TREJO Oliver 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
28 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
29 HUANG Tyler T. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
30 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
31 GINSBURG Daniel 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
32 DOLAN Charles R. 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
33 BIDWELL Ryder 6% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
34 DOLSKI Jack - 6% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
35 FARDELLA Angelo 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
36 DEISBOECK Maximilian S. - 5% 25% 41% 24% 4%
37 HONG Justin 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
38 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 11% 1%
39 GRYCIUK Koby 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
40 HUANG Connor 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
41 ZHUANG Rayken 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
42 MACKINNON Henry 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
43 KESSLER Josh 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% - -
44 WONG Ryan - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
45 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
46 DUNAL Daniel 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
47 ZHANG Yankun 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
48 SHTEIN Yan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
49 BURDAN Gabriel 15% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
50 RENNER Henry 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2% -
51 SHI Erick 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
52 MORALES Jonathan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
52 BOVE Roman 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
54 OWENS Harrison J. 3% 15% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
55 WU Max 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
56 ELLIS John (Jack) 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
57 GILBERT Spencer E. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
58 GOLDMAN Noah R. 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
59 HUANG Ian 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
60 BRIDGES Benjamin 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
61 SUSSMAN Jamie 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
62 BERG Patrick 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.