8th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, February 21, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 34%
3 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
3 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
6 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
7 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
8 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
9 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
10 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 7%
11 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 19%
12 PARRA Lucas 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
13 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
14 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 12%
15 LIN Daniel 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
16 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
17 YOON Ian 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
18 LI Vance 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
19 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
20 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
21 CHU Clayton 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
22 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
23 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
24 SHIH Derek 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
25 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
26 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
27 YI Alexander 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
28 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
29 ZHANG JENSON 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
30 PARK Sean 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
31 WON Jacob 100% 91% 54% 13% 1% - -
32 LI Connor 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
33 ZHAO Luke 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
34 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
35 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
36 LEE Connor 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
37 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
38 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 49% 7% - - -
39 FONG Ethan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
39 HUNG Ludwig 100% 80% 34% 6% - - -
41 LU Jayden 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
42 KIM Benjamin 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
43 LIU William 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
44 LEE Daniel 100% 71% 16% 2% - -
45 SI Alexander 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
46 TAN Yichen 100% 67% 21% 2% - - -
47 YANG Rony 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.