8th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
2 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
3 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
5 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
6 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
7 FU Adrian 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
8 XUE Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
9 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
10 MENG Haoyi 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
11 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
12 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
13 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
14 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
15 KOU Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
16 BAI Alex 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
17 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
19 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
20 MA Ciel 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
21 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
22 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
23 LIN Daniel 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
24 KIM Remington 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
25 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
26 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
27 HWANG Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
28 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% -
29 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
30 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
31 MILLER Xavier 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
32 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
33 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
34 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
35 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
36 LEE Davidson 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
37 WOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
38 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
39 RAHMAN Ali 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
40 SHIH Derek 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
41 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
42 BYUN Matthew 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
43 LIU Yihong 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
44 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
44 FEKETE Jack Fekete 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
46 ZHAO Luke 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
47 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
48 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 83% 44% 14% 3% - -
49 CHARETTE Andrew 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
50 PARK Sean 100% 89% 45% 12% 2% - -
51 NOLAN Morgan 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
52 LIU William 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
53 HOBBS Fineas 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
54 YUN Nicholas 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
55 HUNG Ludwig 100% 19% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.