MoDuel Open Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 BLACK Brennan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
2 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
3 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
5 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
6 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
7 LEE Matthew 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% - -
8 THORN Evan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% - -
9 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 13% 2%
10 LENNON Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
11 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
12 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
13 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 3% -
14 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 48% 18% 3%
15 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
16 SOKALSKI Edwin 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% - -
17 MOORTHY Gyan 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 22% 5% -
18 KIM Zac 100% 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
19 PETERSON Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
20 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 19% 2%
21 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% - -
22 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
23 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
24 KARASICK Andrew 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% - -
25 DOLBOW Trevor 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1% -
26 O'REILLY Robert 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
27 STRAND Alexander I. 100% 98% 82% 50% 20% 4% - -
28 TAN Theodore 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% - - -
29 RIST Beck J. 100% 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
30 RENZ Sarah 100% 34% 5% - - - - -
31 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 58% 15% 1% - - - -
32 DEXTER Danny 100% 46% 10% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.