Seattle International Veteran's Cup

Veteran Men's Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ABRAM Simon	-	-	-	2%	16%	46%	36%
2	POPOKH Leo	-	-	-	4%	31%	65%
3	JAN Stephen	-	-	-	-	9%	54%	37%
3	MORENO BRIONES Patricio A.	-	-	-	-	-	1%	99%
5	TANG Julian	-	-	-	6%	31%	45%	17%
6	BEASLEY Julien	-	6%	47%	38%	8%	1%	-
7	GLOZMAN Pasha	-	-	5%	35%	45%	15%
8	ESTELL Oscar M.	-	-	1%	16%	46%	37%
9	LEBLANC Gerald (Jerry) A.	-	-	1%	9%	40%	50%	1%
10	FLANAGAN James	-	1%	10%	35%	43%	10%
11	KLEIN Johannes	4%	21%	38%	29%	9%	1%
12	KOEHN Ted	-	-	1%	9%	36%	53%
13	LEE Tobias (Toby) T.	-	-	1%	13%	38%	37%	11%
14	CLAYTON Byron	-	-	-	5%	25%	45%	26%
15	DE BARROS CONTI Thibaut	-	5%	28%	46%	19%	2%	-
16	BHATT Jay	4%	38%	42%	14%	2%	-
17	LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W.	-	5%	22%	39%	28%	5%
18	VALENTINE Iain	-	-	3%	24%	52%	19%	2%
19	HOLCOMB Michael	54%	38%	7%	< 1%	-	-
20	POWERS Douglas A.	-	-	4%	26%	51%	19%	-
21	ZEISS Gary M.	-	2%	23%	51%	22%	2%	-
22	NARY William J.	28%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
23	CHAO Pierre	19%	54%	24%	2%	-	-
24	KRYLTSOV Greg	1%	15%	39%	35%	9%	1%
25	PHILLIPS Jasper	-	1%	20%	45%	27%	6%	-
26	RODRIGUEZ VINCENT	-	9%	52%	33%	5%	-	-
27	PATTERSON Jan (Janmon) M.	-	< 1%	5%	34%	45%	16%
28	JONES Bryan T.	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%
29	BROWN Ethan	-	9%	42%	39%	10%	-
30	GARDNER William	4%	29%	52%	14%	1%	-
31	WALTERS John	69%	28%	3%	-	-	-	-
32	AMMAR Sam	41%	50%	8%	-	-	-	-
33	TEARSE Robert G.	76%	22%	2%	-	-	-
34	GELLER Alan S.	6%	38%	41%	13%	1%	-	-
35	ALLAN Peter L.	3%	29%	45%	20%	3%	-	-
36	VAN STEIN Thomas	18%	67%	15%	1%	-	-	-
37	PATTON Leland	76%	23%	-	-	-	-	-
38	BRUCE II Ommer E.	10%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
39	KLEINMAN Joseph	45%	49%	6%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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