9th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 REYES Manuel A 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 MO Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 27%
3 MOE Annan 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
5 SHAJI Karthik 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
6 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
7 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 35%
8 LIAO Anthony J. 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
9 KOE Beckett 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
10 MCMANUS Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 27%
11 RIVERA Ivan 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 3%
12 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
13 KIMURA Ryo 100% 99% 90% 56% 15% -
14 LEON Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 64% 17%
15 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 1%
16 RODRIGUEZ Mateo 100% 100% 95% 68% 18% 1%
17 PACILIO Jacob 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
18 OCCIANO Jade 100% 100% 95% 70% 21% 2%
19 BABER Ijlal 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
20 CANTERO Erick 100% 94% 62% 19% 2%
21 FERRONE Gianna 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
22 BURMAN Timothy 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1%
23 LOBEL Dillan 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% -
24 FERRONE Nate 100% 98% 59% 15% 1% -
24 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 95% 66% 23% 2%
26 WONG Grace 100% 99% 83% 38% 8% 1%
27 PATTERSON Emma 100% 96% 65% 23% 3% -
28 CARRERO Quentin 100% 57% 14% 1% -
29 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 95% 62% 15% 1%
30 VILLALOBOS Ava 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
31 LEE Andrew 100% 76% 29% 4% - -
32 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 85% 42% 8% -
33 OZTEK Muzaffer T. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
34 XU Maxwell 100% 81% 34% 4% - -
35 GENC Sienna 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
36 CHEN Tyler 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
37 PLESS Richard 100% 69% 21% 3% - -
38 GIRA Collin 100% 93% 56% 10% - -
39 ARIAS-JOHNSON Evan 100% 75% 20% 2% - -
41 CHEN Mikayla 100% 32% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.