9th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MO Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 21%
2 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 32%
3 BRITTNELL Nicolas 100% 91% 52% 9%
3 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 RIVERA Ivan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
6 KIMURA Ryo 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
7 LEON Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 MCMANUS Liam 100% 100% 99% 87% 27%
9 SHAJI Karthik 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 FERRONE Gianna 100% 98% 75% 34% 7% - < 1%
11 LIAO Anthony J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 21%
12 FERRONE Nate 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
13 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 99% 90% 53% 11% 1%
14 RODRIGUEZ Mateo 100% 94% 56% 15% 1%
15 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 100% 98% 77% 33% 5%
16 GALLUCCI Julianna 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
17 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 14%
18 HUSSEY Aidan 100% 65% 19% 2%
19 BABER Ijlal 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
20 PACHTER Morgan 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
21 WONG Grace 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
22 XU Maxwell 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
23 SANDS Cooper 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
24 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
25 OCCIANO Jade 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
26 CREWS Aiden 100% 97% 55% 15% 2% - -
27 SPEARS Scott 100% 98% 74% 28% 2%
28 SEGURA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
29 OZTEK Muzaffer T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
30 CARRERO Quentin 100% 95% 70% 32% 6% - -
31 LOBEL Dillan 100% 94% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
32 MARTINGANO Jaiden 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
33 CHEN Kent 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
35 CANTERO Erick 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
36 LATHAM Kallan 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1%
37 VILLALOBOS Ava 100% 80% 30% 4% - - -
38 FIERRO Elizabeth 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
39 GIRA Collin 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
40 FIERRO Michael 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
41 EKMEKCILER Onur 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
42 PACILIO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
43 RICHARDS Ava 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
44 PATTERSON Emma 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
45 RYAN SIMONOVICH Mike 100% 96% 70% 24%
46 LANGSTON Skylar 100% 39% 6% - -
47 RYAN SIMONOVICH George 'Yuri' 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
48 CHEN Mikayla 100% 29% 3% - - -
49 SABELLA Alex 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
49 HO Ricky 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
51 BURMAN Timothy 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
52 OSTEEN Gunnar 100% 96% 61% 16%
53 CHEN Tyler 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
54 PLESS Richard 100% 91% 43% 5% - -
55 LE BLANC Anna 100% 93% 58% 15% 1% -
56 ARIAS-JOHNSON Evan 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.