W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
3 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
5 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
6 DUAN eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
7 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 22%
8 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 13%
9 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
10 LIN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 10%
11 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
12 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
13 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28% 3%
14 BLUM Oliver 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
15 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
16 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3% -
17 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
18 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 6%
19 BANG Dylan 100% 100% 78% 28% 4% - -
20 BADLANI Neel 100% 99% 86% 48% 10% 1%
21 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
22 SALLAI Abel 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
23 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 95% 68% 23% 4% -
24 LE Tan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
25 BOZARTH Alex 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
26 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 98% 77% 26% 2% -
27 DAVIS Andrew 100% 96% 64% 20% 2% - -
28 MOORE Mary 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
29 HAVERSON Civa 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
30 ASBY Will 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
31 NEPS Alec 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
32 LUNDEN Espen 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
33 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% - -
34 THOMPSON Conner 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - -
35 MATUSIAK JT 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
36 OGURA Griffin 100% 86% 43% 10% 1% - -
37 DHINDHWAL KULBIR SINGH 100% 34% 5% - - - -
38 CASSIDY Leo 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% - -
39 KOVARI Kata 100% 41% 4% - - - -
40 SOLOMON Ethan 100% 88% 29% 3% - -
41 FISHER Natalie 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.