2nd Annual Bama Open

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 2:30 PM

400 Peter Bryce Blvd. - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 KRAFFT Douglas 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 SUTTON Caleb 100% 100% 94% 49%
3 LIU Oscar 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
5 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
6 KERTESZ Stefan 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
8 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 97% 73% 28% 1%
9 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 SOPER Adam 100% 99% 86% 40%
11 MEILAN William 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
12 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 98% 43%
13 GOINS Isaac 100% 98% 78% 36% 6%
14 FORD Tillman 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
15 CALINSKY Edward 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
16 FULLER Patrick 100% 80% 22% 1%
17 EDWARDS John 100% 95% 69% 30% 5%
18 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 99% 73% 27% 4%
19 MACGREGOR Alexander 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
19 WATKINS Christopher 100% 93% 59% 19% 2%
21 MANNING Jackson 100% 89% 52% 13% -
22 MARSHALL Jaden 100% 93% 58% 13%
24 AGUILLON Alexis 100% 82% 12% -
25 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 86% 45% 11% 1%
26 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 90% 50% 12% 1%
27 OGLE Bennett 100% 82% 40% 8% -
28 KNOX Aidan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1%
29 POWERS Robert 100% 97% 63% 18% 2%
30 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 98% 68% 23% 3%
31 SIMPSON Sophia 100% 74% 29% 4%
32 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 15% 1% - -
33 WASH James 100% 21% - -
34 HUNTER James 100% 65% 21% 3% -
35 REYNOLDS Natalie 100% 41% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.