2nd Annual Bama Open

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 2:30 PM

400 Peter Bryce Blvd. - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KRAFFT Douglas 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 SUTTON Caleb 100% 100% 81% 31%
3 LIU Oscar 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
3 DONG Joshua 100% 100% 94% 64% 18%
5 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
6 KERTESZ Stefan 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
8 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 96% 72% 27% 1%
9 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
10 SOPER Adam 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
11 MEILAN William 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
12 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 98% 38%
13 GOINS Isaac 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
14 FORD Tillman 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
15 CALINSKY Edward 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
16 FULLER Patrick 100% 79% 18% 1% -
17 EDWARDS John 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
18 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 99% 69% 24% 3%
19 MACGREGOR Alexander 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
19 WATKINS Christopher 100% 93% 59% 19% 2%
21 MANNING Jackson 100% 88% 50% 12% -
22 MARSHALL Jaden 100% 98% 83% 42% 9%
23 PARKER Jordan 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
24 AGUILLON Alexis 100% 89% 39% 1%
25 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
26 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 90% 50% 12% 1%
27 OGLE Bennett 100% 82% 40% 8% -
28 KNOX Aidan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1%
29 POWERS Robert 100% 98% 65% 19% 2%
30 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1%
31 SIMPSON Sophia 100% 75% 32% 7% -
32 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 15% 1% - -
33 WASH James 100% 23% - -
34 HUNTER James 100% 66% 22% 3% -
35 REYNOLDS Natalie 100% 60% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.