March Blade Madness

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Salle Hinton - Lemoyne, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARSH Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 5%
2 SHEA William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
3 HALE Bradley 100% 93% 60% 19% 3% - -
5 REZAC Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
6 WOODLEY George 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 JEUCH Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
8 MCLAUGHLIN Keenan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
9 DHINDHWAL KULBIR SINGH 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1% -
10 WIENCHES Zena 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
11 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
12 PAULES Christian 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13% 1%
13 COYLE Emma 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
14 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
15 GIAMPETRO Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 2% -
16 KARASICK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 3%
17 CERVINO Anthony 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% -
18 GONZALEZ Aidan 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
19 STULAK Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
20 DAGGS Jillian 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
21 RUSEN Gary V. 100% 95% 57% 17% 2% - -
22 HIGH Ean 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
23 GRIETZER Elizabeth 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
24 BELL Lindsey 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
25 NESTERUK Hope 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
26 MANN William 100% 88% 35% 6% - - -
27 REARDON Isabella 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.