Maple Madness

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Vermont Commons School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allen - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 13%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
3 YIN Chujun 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
3 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 9%
5 MIAN Ismail - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 LUSSIER Jesse B. - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
6 CHEN Luowen - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
8 BUSH Thomas - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
9 NGUYEN Thanh H. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
10 COFFIN Carleton - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
11 SCHUPPE Ray W. 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
12 ELDER Justin 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
13 HENTY Colton 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
14 RUGGLES William R. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
15 MCDARBY Michael B. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
16 MAY Ciaran - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
17 COBURN David 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 2% -
18 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1%
19 FERLAND Brent 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
20 POWERFREEMAN Mark 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
21 COLLIER Samara 61% 33% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.